The JPY rose in most of its 16 major cross course on Monday after Economy Minister Akira Amari country suggested that any new declines in the yen would have a negative effect on the local economy and the government is required to trigger mechanisms to minimize these risks. The JPY found support and left more than 4-year low against the U.S. dollar, to which sank late last week. The market participants chose to bet again on the yen after yesterday’s speech by Amare and speculation that the aggressive depreciation of the yen, which continued for six months has reached a turning point. On Friday, the USD extended its advance against the JPY to a new record high at 103.30. Today, the pair USD/JPY away 0.7% of that level and traded around 102.60. In the last 6 months the yen erased 20% of its value, making it the most losing the currency market. For the same period the USD appreciated by 3.5% and the EUR collects advantage of 3.8%.
The foreign trade deficit in the Eurozone after seasonal adjustment rose in March to 22.9 billion EUR compared to the adjusted towards reduction 10.1 billion EUR in February when first announced 10.4 billion EUR and a surplus of 6.9 billion . EUR in March 2012, announced by the European statistical agency Eurostat. Without the seasonal adjustment external trade surplus rose to 18.7 billion EUR in March, revised upwards to 12.7 billion EUR in February when first announced 12 billion EUR.
Seasonally adjusted exports in March 2013 increased by 2.8% on a monthly basis, while imports fell by 1%. Without seasonal adjustment, exports reached 165.8 billion EUR, an increase of 11.6% on a monthly basis and has no change from March 2012. The imports without seasonal adjustment was down 10% YoY and grew 3.2% on a monthly, reaching 142.9 billion EUR.
The performance of the USD over the past two weeks has been extraordinary and if the risks hanging over the Standard & Poor’s 500 and the JPY cross rates do not change attitudes, the currency will continue to appreciate against the concerns of the market. To fully appreciate the power of the base currency at the present time, we must look beyond lifting her over 150 points in each of the past two weeks, brought it close to 3-year high. Need to evaluate and scope of its movement versus major currencies. Compared with its partners in a safe haven, the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc, the dollar advanced last week by 1.5% and 1.6%. Against the Australian and New Zealand dollars, however, the increase for the same period was 2.9%. In the US currency has an inner strength that led to her gains against its main competitors this year. At present various scenarios likely will develop in the coming weeks aimed at minimizing the loss of the dollar and strong profit growth.
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On Monday, the JPY extended losses that began to accumulate at the end of last week against the USD. At a meeting over the weekend G-7 avoided direct criticism of the monetary policy of the Bank of Japan, which effectively opened a new front for increased exposure against the JPY in the currency markets. After over a month of trying to break above the critical barrier of 100.00 at the end of last week, the pair USD / JPY finally managed to climb over it. In terms of technical analysis this breakthrough is the cornerstone for a new appreciation of the USD and consequently further depreciation in the yen. News from the weekend further accelerated this trend and today, the pair reached 102.15 – the highest level since October 2008. The caution to the sale of yen ahead of the G-7 disappeared very quickly after Japan did not receive censure for aggressive monetary incentives that local central bank voted on April 4th. The British Finance Minister George Osborne reported that the G-7 stick to promises to refrain from direct intervention in the currency markets and the devaluation of local currencies.